PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 6, 2026, 12:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
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Stored reference
Democratic Party 76.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Democratic Party 76.5%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$616.2K
High liquidityOpen interest
$4K
Bid / Ask
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Democratic PartySpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 29, 26, 5:04 PM UTCNov 8, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Democratic Party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
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Manifold MarketsAlaska Senate winner?
KalshiMississippi Senate winner?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2028 United States general election.
- A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2028 general election is affiliated.
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
- All House elections in the 2028 United States general election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 121st Congress are included.
- Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — Which party will win the US House in 2028? · Democratic Party 78%