Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 19th District?
22.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 78.1%+22.1ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+22.1 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 6, 26, 3:11 AM UTCNov 8, 28, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 18th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 17th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 6th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2028?
PolymarketNew York's 17th District margin of victory
KalshiRules
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in New York's 19th District: whichever district is numbered 19 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 19.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.