Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 88.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+55.2 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 12:43 AM UTCNov 7, 28, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRules
Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this state in the 2028 us presidential election.
- 2028 United States presidential election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
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- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Wyoming??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Wyoming? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Wyoming? is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Which party will win the 2028 presidential election in Wyoming? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes to whoever the associated press declares the winner of this state in the 2028 us presidential election.