Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Missouri's 6th District?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms8d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublican Party — Chris Stigall 95%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleOct 6, 26, 6:04 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Missouri's 6th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election for the numbered district on the map in effect for that election (the 2022 map per the U.S. Supreme Court's order of September 25, 2026 in 26A388); nominees were chosen and certified by district number.
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
