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Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION]
FedPoliticsGeopolitics1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Trillionaire 8.1%Leader of 44 outcomes
Forecasters
118
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 24, 5:16 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Note: Answers must be an EXACT match of a FULL headline.
- No words extra, no words missing.
- I have another market about "closet resembling" headlines on a specific day.
- Marnix has a market for substrings found within any day's headlines.
- For a market to resolve "YES," it must be an exact match according to my judgement, aside from letter case, punctuation, formatting quirks, and most spelling differences (I'll ignore unintentional mistakes, Kyiv vs kiev doesn't matter, etc.).
- This means no words extra and no words missing.
Open markets
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $103.9M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt45.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $38.7M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt48.3%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt45.4%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No88%
- Yes+1.2pt12%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $38.6K
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION]?
- Manifold Markets prices Trillionaire at 8% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION] resolve?
- Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION] is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is Which answers will *exactly* match a *full* New York Times front page headline before 2028? [READ DESCRIPTION] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Note: Answers must be an EXACT match of a FULL headline.