Current community forecast
Finland 68.3%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 8:20 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketEU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
PolymarketWill any EU country or NATO stop sharing intelligence with the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReligiously motivated dog massacre in EU country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMexico unemployment rate in October
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the EU member state that records the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for the month of December 2026, as officially published by Eurostat.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the Eurostat database table "Unemployment rate (%) - monthly data" (dataset code: ei_lmhr_m) or the Eurostat news release for December 2026 unemployment rates, which will be accessible via the Eurostat Euro Indicators portal.
- Scope: Only the 27 official European Union member states are eligible.
- Non-EU countries (e.g., Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, United Kingdom) are excluded.
- Metric: Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (%) for the total population (both sexes, ages 15 to 74).