Current community forecast
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 36.6%Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 24, 25, 10:56 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
