Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 47.9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
30
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 25, 3:03 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
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KalshiWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first Chancellor elected by the Bundestag following the next German federal election.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no Chancellor is elected before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".