Current community forecast
#1 16.7%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
0
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleOct 23, 26, 4:29 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Where will the Kalshi app ("Kalshi: Trade Football & more", or whatever Kalshi's iPhone app is called on the day) rank on Apple's US Top Free iPhone apps chart on Election Day? **How it resolves:** I'll read Apple's own US top-free feed at the first check at or after **12:00 ET (17:00 UTC) on Tuesday, November 3, 2026**: https://itunes.apple.com/us/rss/topfreeapplications/limit=100/json (backup with the same data: https://rss.marketingtools.apple.com/api/v2/us/apps/top-free/100/apps.json).
- Kalshi's position in that list picks the answer.
- If it isn't in the top 100, the answer is "the named outcome".
- If both feeds are down, I'll use the App Store's Top Charts > Free (US store, iPhone) at the same time and post a screenshot in the comments. **Where it stands now (Oct 23, 04:30 UTC):** Kalshi is #11.
- Above it: Capital One, Vinted, BigFuture School, Muse from Meta, ChatGPT, Claude and others.
- PrizePicks is #64; Polymarket isn't in the top 100. **Why it's interesting:** prediction-market apps get a surge of downloads around big elections, and Kalshi is much bigger now than in 2024 thanks to sports contracts.
