When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
AIManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastOther 26.4%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
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Updated 18 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 23, 10:42 AM UTCAug 3, 23, 10:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
It has been a long time coming.
- I am expecting an announcement first by GRR Martin, and then a release date thereafter.
- Subject of this question is the release date i.e. can actually buy it, as opposed to announcement.
- Dates can include Posthumous publication with input from other writers such as with wheel of time finale.
- I'll add some more year options as I get the budget, so "other" will shrink as the options increase, while still including "never".
- Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve when on publication date (rather than announcement)