KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.9
Liquidity
$25.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 30, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
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KalshiRules
If George R.R. Martin has announced a release date for The Winds of Winter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:George R.R. Martin
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year??
- Kalshi prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year? resolve?
- The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If George R.R. Martin has announced a release date for The Winds of Winter before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.