PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 93%
No 93%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
15
7d Change
+2.3 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 16, 26, 12:33 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWinds of Winter released before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhich will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Manifold MarketsAny one of Half Life 3, the Winds of Winter, or Elder Scrolls 6 announced before the end of 2026
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
- This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.