Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast2030 or later 57%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
419
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.6 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 15, 23, 12:32 PM UTCNov 11, 30, 10:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.
- If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82.
- There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia.
- On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
- https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e
- [link preview]
