Current community forecast
Before Trump serves time in prison 78.6%Leader of 25 outcomes
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 24, 9:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august
