When if at all will SpaceX reach $1 trillion revenue per annum
6.5 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsCustomSpaceBusiness & CorporateTech4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIn or before 2040 56.5%+6.5ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.5 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleOct 21, 26, 12:50 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Total Revenue as reported in any 4 consecutive quarters.
- It is the end date of the year when it first happens that matters.
- So if it is the year ending 31 December 2030 then "the named outcome" and later options would resolve yes.
- If the first time it happens is the 52 weeks ending 3 January 2031 then only "the named outcome" and later options would resolve yes.
- Mergers and acquisitions count.
- In the unlikely event of a change of quarter end then time apportionment to 365 days will be used.