Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
0.5 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92%+0.5pt
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$162.9
Liquidity
$27.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
28
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 4:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
- The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
- Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
