Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUSA vs Iran 45.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleApr 30, 25, 12:04 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 12:02 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve to the first conflict that meets the following criteria:
- Definition of Global Conflict: A military confrontation involving at least two sovereign nations, resulting in sustained combat operations and significant casualties.
- Resolution Process:
- The market will resolve to the specific conflict that first meets the above definition.
- If multiple conflicts occur simultaneously, the market will resolve to the one that is most widely recognized as a global conflict by reputable international organizations and media outlets.
