Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Anthropic 19%Leader of 26 outcomes
Anthropic 19%Forecasters
52
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 19, 22, 10:25 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind
- Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige
- 50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year
