Current community forecast
BC Conservatives win a majority 67.5%+1.4ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 12:06 AM UTCOct 25, 26, 3:00 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
The Canadian province of British Columbia is holding a snap general election for 24 October 2024.
- This question resolves based on which party won the most seats and whether their seat count is above or below the majority line.
- In the event of a tie, this question resolves to the relevant "tie" option (e.g. "NDP-Conservative tie").
- The NDP won the previous election in 2024, obtaining 47 out of 93 seats with 48% of the vote and thus forming a majority government.
- As of the time of writing this question, 338Canada is projecting a Conservative majority.
- Note that this question does not resolve to who forms government - so in the unlikely event that the next government is a coalition of two parties, neither of which have the most seats alone, this question would nonetheless resolve to the party that has the most seats at the conclusion of the election, despite their not forming government.