Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans 95%
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 10, 26, 11:29 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Democratic party win the Wyoming general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Wyoming general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election by 5.00% or more?
Manifold MarketsWill Vivek Ramaswamy (R) be elected as the United States Governor for Ohio in the 2026 gubernatorial election?
ForecastExWill Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt58.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva40.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.3M
- 24h Vol
- $967.8K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep+0.3pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223.1M
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $600.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.5M
- 24h Vol
- $564.5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What Party will win the 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Republicans at 95% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does What Party will win the 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Election? resolve?
- What Party will win the 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.