What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]?

Manifold Markets prices He also wins the popular vote. at 100% as of October 29, 2026.

When does What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers] resolve?

What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Answers resolve to YES or NO if the event clearly did or did not happen by the date specified in the answer (2030-01-01 by default).

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KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.7pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.9pt8.9%

Total Vol

$79.4M

24h Vol

$3.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.5M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$26.5M

24h Vol

$2.1M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+1.0pt65%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt27.2%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt6.8%

+2 more outcomes

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

US House Control After the 2026 Midterms

• Democrat93%
• Republican-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

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