UK Autumn Budget 2026: will Local Housing Allowance rates be raised for April 2027?
InflationOne-OffPoliticsSociety & Culture16dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77.2%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
LHA rates have been frozen since April 2024.
- YES if the Budget announces that LHA rates will rise from April 2027 or earlier, for example by relinking them to the 30th percentile of local rents.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
