UK Autumn Budget 2026: will dividend, savings or property income tax rates rise further?
PoliticsOne-OffMacro & Economy15dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.8%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
YES if the Budget announces an increase in any dividend, savings or property income tax rate beyond the increases legislated at Budget 2025.
- Council tax, stamp duty and the High Value Council Tax Surcharge are outside this market.
- Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
- A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
- A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
- This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
