What are the current odds for UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the Energy Profits Levy be raised or extended??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59.5% as of October 12, 2026.

UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the Energy Profits Levy be raised or extended?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 59.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Sep 22, 26, 2:32 PM UTCOct 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

YES if the Budget raises the Energy Profits Levy rate, extends its end date, or introduces a new windfall tax on oil and gas producers.

Resolves YES if the measure is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech on 28 October 2026 or appears in the Budget documents HM Treasury publishes that day (the Budget document, the policy decisions table, the policy costings, or the Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates).
A measure announced earlier counts if those documents confirm it.
A consultation, review or call for evidence alone resolves NO.
This market closes at 12:00 UTC on Budget day, 30 minutes before the speech is due to begin, because measures resolve as the Chancellor announces them.
The creator may trade in this market.