PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 2026 28%
December 31, 2026 28%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
22.0% / 27.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 9:36 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly announces that UBS will move its global headquarters or legal domicile, or those of its successor ultimate parent company, out of Switzerland between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The following will qualify: - An announcement from UBS or an official representative of UBS expressing that UBS has decided to move. - An announced agreed merger, acquisition, or adopted reorganization under which the ultimate parent company of UBS or of the combined group would be headquartered or domiciled outside Switzerland.
- The following will not qualify: - Statements that UBS is considering a move, could move, or would move depending on the outcome of Switzerland's capital requirements legislation. - An unsolicited acquisition proposal or preliminary transaction discussions. - Adding a headquarters outside Switzerland while keeping one in Switzerland, unless the legal domicile also moves out of Switzerland. - Moving only a subsidiary or business unit.
- No shareholder or regulatory approval of the move is required, and a qualifying announcement will count regardless of whether or when the move actually occurs.