What are the current odds for Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution??

Manifold Markets prices No at 82.7% as of October 8, 2026.

When does Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution? resolve?

Tyler Robinson dies by judicial execution? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2035.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 82.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Sep 20, 25, 4:46 AM UTCSep 20, 35, 4:42 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market concerns Tyler James Robinson (born 2003), the Utah County defendant charged with the September 10, 2025 killing of Charlie Kirk.
(reuters.com)
Resolves YES if, before market close, a U.S. authority (e.g., Utah Department of Corrections, another state DOC, or the Federal Bureau of Prisons) or two reputable outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters) report that Robinson was executed pursuant to a court‑issued death warrant (methods may include lethal injection or firing squad).
Primary check: Utah DOC press releases; Utah death‑warrant/Execution procedures under Utah Code §77‑19.
(corrections.utah.gov)