Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 1:14 PM UTCJul 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTyler Robinson Sentence (first result)?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson dies by judicial execution?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRules
Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.
- If Robinson is convicted of any homicide or murder charge in the ongoing case versus the state of Utah, then this will be resolved as yes.
- Conversely, if a plea deal is reached or if the relevant charges are dropped, then it will resolve as a "no".
- If a mistrial is declared, then the question will still be active until the deadline.
- Appeals and other motions will not be considered.
- The actual verdict issued by the court will be the final say.
