Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.1%
Forecasters
56
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 28, 26, 3:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Trump is alive on January 1, 2027.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- Trump's 2018 coronary CT calcium scan score indicates he has coronary artery disease.
