Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 93.9%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMay 13, 26, 8:42 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person at least twice between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM PT and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- A qualifying meeting includes:
- A bilateral summit
- An official diplomatic meeting
- An in-person meeting at an international conference, forum, or event
- Any publicly confirmed face-to-face interaction between the two leaders
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
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- $50M+10.6pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.5K
- 24h Vol
- $795K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
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- Helena Foulkes-0.9pt97.1%
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- Gregory Stevens0%
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- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84.8%
- Republican Party-2.0pt15.2%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $247.6K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump meets Xi Jinping again in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Trump meets Xi Jinping again in 2026? resolve?
- Trump meets Xi Jinping again in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Trump meets Xi Jinping again in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person at least twice between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM PT and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.