KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2030 · —
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Stored price
Before 2030 22%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before 2030 22%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$23.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2030Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2030
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xi Jinping visit the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the US again before he dies?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the US in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit the US in 2028?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in TaiwanXi Jinpingofficial government sources of Taiwanofficial representatives or offices of Xi JinpingThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBCBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBCBBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2030
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.