Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 70.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 4:29 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump receives an official state visit to the United Kingdom after September 19, 2025 and before January 20, 2029 (the end of his second term).
- An official state visit is defined as a formal diplomatic visit where Trump is hosted by the British monarch with full state ceremony, as recognized by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or the Royal Household.
- Resolution can be verified through official announcements from the UK government, the White House, or the Royal Family's official channels.
- Trump completed a state visit to the UK from September 16-18, 2025, during his second presidency—his second state visit overall, with the first occurring in June 2019 during his first term.
- Historically, US presidents are typically invited for tea with the British monarch if they visit the UK for a second time while in office, and Trump's predecessors George W. Bush and Barack Obama only made a state visit once, receiving tea at Windsor Castle during the end of their second terms.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term resolve?
- Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria