Current community forecast
Yes 84%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 17, 25, 5:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsThe Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
Elected referring to the party crossing the party vote threshold (currently set at 5%) or having a candidate win an electorate.
