Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 77%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 9, 23, 6:21 PM UTCJul 1, 45, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Temple mount controlled by a Jewish group
Manifold MarketsWill a Jewish Third Temple be built in Jerusalem by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Third Temple be constructed in Jerusalem over the present site of the Dome of the Rock by 2050?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
Currently it's controlled by Islam which has a mosque there.
- This is about whether this froup gains control, at least long enough to begin construction of their own building on top, or other building or deconstruction activities.
- If there is divided control it counts if they have at least 50% of the top flat surface area visible in the image.
- By mid year 2045.