Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast(5%, 10%], Scott win 27.7%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.6 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 7:02 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?
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KalshiRules
Based on official SF gov results.
- Raw substraction of the percentage each of them receive.
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- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices (5%, 10%], Scott win at 27.7% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 resolve?
- San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026.
- How is San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Based on official SF gov results.