Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 72.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 23, 3:10 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.
- His career has been marked by significant manipulations and expansions in the companies he has led, often aligning with his political friendships.
- This market will resolve YES if Daniel Obajtek will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
- [image]https://wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/polska/polityka/dlaczego-obajtkowi-grozi-nawet-25-lat-wiezienia-ekspert-wyjasnia
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? resolve?
- Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.