PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$525.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.5% / 2.4%
Spread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
7
7d Change
-1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 22, 26, 11:13 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketPoland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTom Lee charged by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.9pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $554.2K
- 24h Vol
- $500.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.5K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
- What price will Ethereum hit on September 8?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ben Pasternak jailed??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Ben Pasternak jailed? resolve?
- Ben Pasternak jailed? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Ben Pasternak jailed? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.