Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 67.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 23, 11:19 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.
- A member of the Law and Justice Party (PiS), he has served as Poland's Minister of Justice and Public Prosecutor General.
- Known for his firm stance on law and order, Ziobro has been a key figure in Poland's judicial reforms, making him a significant yet polarizing figure in Polish politics.
- This market will resolve YES if Zbigniew Ziobro will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? resolve?
- Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.