What are the current odds for Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? resolve?

Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:37 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Yes 59%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Nov 26, 23, 8:48 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.