Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, 5:33 PM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current community forecastJavier Milei 50.7%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleApr 21, 26, 4:28 AMAug 7, 26, 5:33 PM
Trends
50.7%
40.6%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
Rules
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-10.0pt60.9%
- Ralph Norman+10.0pt30.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.6%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $186.5M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.6pt67%
- October 31-6.5pt45%
- September 30-7.0pt26%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt34.4%
- Édouard Philippe27.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $120.4M
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-3.0pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt14%
+125 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15%
- Total Vol
- $23.5M
- 24h Vol
- $446.5K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Argentina Presidential Election Winner?
- Manifold Markets prices Javier Milei at 51% as of August 8, 2026.
- When does Argentina Presidential Election Winner resolve?
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on August 7, 2026.
- How is Argentina Presidential Election Winner settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.