Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastJavier Milei 50%+4.6%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleApr 21, 26, 4:28 AMOct 24, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.4%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Javier Milei50%
Also available on Polymarket
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
2.2%1y
51%
44%
-2.2%3%
+61 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$207.1K
24h Vol$726.1
POLYMARKETRules
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).