KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hakeem Jeffries 73.5%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 3, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democrat elected Speaker of the House by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictIt120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWho will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
KalshiWho will be the next new Speaker of the House?
KalshiSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:House of Representatives
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House??
- Kalshi prices Hakeem Jeffries at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? resolve?
- 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2028.
- How is 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.