Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 17, 2026, 4:34 PM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the HBO Max app still exist on July 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWill Dune Part 3 release before June 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
KalshiWill "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
Manifold MarketsRules
1 Callum Turner
- 2 Jack Lowden
- 3 Jack Barton
- 4 Someone Else
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the first official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios, Eon Productions, or a major reputable Hollywood trade publication (such as Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, or Deadline) confirming the actor cast to play the next James Bond (007) in the official film franchise (often referred to as "Bond 26").
