Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 25, 25, 4:49 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Mark Carney say during his remarks with the Prime Minister of Norway?
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PolymarketWill Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom14.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3M
- 24h Vol
- $742.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt91%
- Republican Party-1.8pt9%
- Total Vol
- $33.9M
- 24h Vol
- $573K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+21.1pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-25.0pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $975.6K
- 24h Vol
- $472.8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.9M
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for mark carney removed by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does mark carney removed by end of 2026? resolve?
- mark carney removed by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.