Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028)?

Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028) resolve?

Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028) is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.

How is Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Reacting to these three remarks, one attributed to Trump, one to a Trump ally, and one to his lawyers.

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KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.2pt91.1%
• Republican Party-0.3pt9%

Total Vol

$79.3M

24h Vol

$3.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.4M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt27.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$26.3M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

• Karen Bass+10.0pt54.5%
• Nithya Raman-9.0pt45.5%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$1.8M

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

US House Control After the 2026 Midterms

• Democrat93%
• Republican-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$1.4M

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