This market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Aug 10, 2026, 4:18 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 days ago
StaleDec 23, 25, 6:57 PMAug 10, 26, 4:18 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
99%
1%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Labour makes an official public statement ruling out forming a coalition government with New Zealand First for the 2026 election.
- This includes statements from Labour leadership (party leader, deputy leader, or official party spokesperson) explicitly stating they will not work with NZ First in coalition negotiations after the election.
- The market resolves NO if Labour does not make such a statement, or if Labour indicates openness to working with NZ First (including conditional openness or refusal to rule them out).
- Resolution will be determined by statements made prior to the 2026 election, scheduled for no later than 19 December 2026.
- Labour previously formed a minority coalition government with New Zealand First in 2017, with confidence and supply from the Green Party.
