Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (95.8%)
Resolved: Oct 16, 2026, 1:00 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes4.2%
No95.8%
Won
Lost
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