What are the current odds for Is de Polignac's conjecture true??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of October 23, 2026.

When does Is de Polignac's conjecture true? resolve?

Is de Polignac's conjecture true? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2101.

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Is de Polignac's conjecture true?

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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 87%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

Market data

Updated 23 minutes ago

Oct 28, 23, 3:59 AM UTCJan 1, 01, 5:59 AM UTC

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Outcome24hChance

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De Polignac's conjecture (sometimes just called Polignac's conjecture) states that there are infinitely many prime gaps of size 2n for any positive integer n.

In other words, there are infinitely many twin primes, cousin primes, sexy primes, and so on.
@/NcyRocks/are-there-infinitely-many-twin-prim
@/JosephNoonan/are-there-infinitely-many-cousin-pr
@/NcyRocks/are-there-infinitely-many-sexy-prim

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Is de Polignac's conjecture true?

Is de Polignac's conjecture true?

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Open markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 22, 2026?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?