Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.9%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleApr 13, 26, 2:32 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the results of a poll conducted on this platform.
- The market will close on Janurary 20th, and the final percentage of "Yes" votes vs. "No" votes will determine the outcome.
- If the percentage of "Yes" votes is greater than 50%, the market will resolve to "Yes." If the percentage of "No" votes is greater than or equal to 50%, the market will resolve to "No."
- The question of whether a contemporary political figure, such as Donald Trump, fits the biblical description of the "antichrist" is a subject of speculation among some religious groups and commentators.
- Historically, the term has been applied to various leaders throughout time.
Open markets
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.3K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.2M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $256.3K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $249.6K
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Is Donald Trump the Antichrist??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Is Donald Trump the Antichrist? resolve?
- Is Donald Trump the Antichrist? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Is Donald Trump the Antichrist? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria