In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?
One-OffScienceHealth & Medicine3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.5%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 3:42 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves to YES if, in 2029, Nectome publicly releases data or is independently verified to have achieved an ideal preservation rate of 75% or higher for its attempted preservations in the last 12 months or at least 10 total attempted preservations, whichever is higher.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- (Thus, in June of 2029, if Nectome releases a report indicating that they only had 2 clients that failed to fully perfuse, out of 20 total, that would resolve YES.
- If they have a terrible 2027, but evidence shows they got their act together and had all 14 perfusions in 2029 go ok, that would also be YES.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? resolve?
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.