Current community forecast
Any policies that in line of requirement for all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age 90.8%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
80
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJun 25, 25, 2:29 AM UTCJan 26, 29, 3:27 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
KalshiWill Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
PolymarketZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves according to my personal opinion on whether each measure has been implemented, I will not trade in this market.
- Please yell at me in the comments if I forget not to make trades.
- Individual answers will reolve N/A if the policy described in the answer was already in place before Mamdani became mayor and he did not advance new policies in addition to those.
- Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question, the creator specified that for the 'the named outcome' option to be considered implemented, it would require all city buses to be made free.
- Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the 'the named outcome' option, the creator has clarified that for it to resolve to YES, the program must be universal.
- This reverses a previous clarification and is based on the creator's stated intent for the market to track the fulfillment of campaign promises.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement??
- Manifold Markets prices Any policies that in line of requirement for all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement? resolve?
- What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement? is scheduled to resolve on January 26, 2029.
- How is What policies will Zohran Mamdani implement? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves according to my personal opinion on whether each measure has been implemented, I will not trade in this market.