If Donald Trump is elected in 2024, will the constitution be Amended during his presidency by January 20, 2029?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMar 27, 24, 11:39 AM UTCJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024 and the Constitution is amended under his presidency by January 20th 2029 at 12 PM Eastern Time, this market will resolve to YES.
- If Donald Trump is elected president in 2024 but this does not occur by that time, this market will resolve to NO.
- Note that the Amendment has to happen while he is President, meaning that if he has stepped down (and the VP becomes either Acting President or President) or already died when the Amendment is passed, this will not be sufficient to resolve to YES.
- If Donald Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will resolve N/A.
